2024 Presidential Election Polls
RacetotheWH is tracking the latest polling for the 2024 Presidential Election. It also features a polling-driven Electoral College Map, which shows the current leader based on the polling average in each state.
In the polling average, more weight is given to polls:
1. Published by Pollsters that have a Strong Track Record of Accuracy
2. That Interviewed a Large Sample of Voters
3. Were Released Recently - Especially as we Get Closer to the Election
We correct for pollsters' historic partisan bias, and we give less weight to polls released by campaigns.
In 2022, RacetotheWH ranked first in calling the highest percentage of Senate and Governor races correctly and came within one seat of predicting the exact number of seats the GOP would finish within the House. While you're on RacetotheWH, be sure to also check out our interactive 2024 Senate and House Election Predictions.
Update - April 2024
1. New Feature: Explore how the Polling has Changed in the Last 45 Days for each Swing State
2. New Feature: the “Polling Lead Snapshot” shows which candidate is leading in each of the top twelve swing states.
3. Now that Biden and Trump clinched the nomination, our polling average only tracks polls for Biden vs. Trump. We have also combined polls showing third-party candidates into one new version - Biden v. Trump + 3rd Party. For the older version, which includes polling for alternative nominees like DeSantis and Haley, click here.