2024 Republican Primary Polling and Predictions
Looking for the 2024 General Election Polls? Click here
RacetotheWH tracks the latest polling for the 2024 Republican Presidential primary across the country. We also run a live election forecast that projects how many delegates each candidate would win if the election were held tomorrow. To secure the GOP nomination without a contested convention, a candidate needs 1235 delegates, which are won based on the vote in every state. Our forecast adapts to each state’s unique delegate rules and is updated daily.
In 2022, RacetotheWH called the highest percentage of Senate and Governor races correctly of any forecaster and came within one seat of perfectly predicting the GOP’s final number of seats in the House.
For any questions about the primary forecast, please email Logan Phillips, the founder of RacetotheWH.
The 2024 election is primed to be one of the defining moments of the early 21st century for the United States, as both parties have an unusually strong chance at winning a Trifecta.
Democrats just won a blockbuster victory in New York, providing the latest sign that the political battleground has shifted since the Supreme Court’s decision to overturn Roe v. Wade.