2024 Republican Primary Polling and Predictions

Looking for the 2024 General Election Polls? Click here

RacetotheWH tracks the latest polling for the 2024 Republican Presidential primary across the country. We also run a live election forecast that projects how many delegates each candidate would win if the election were held tomorrow. To secure the GOP nomination without a contested convention, a candidate needs 1235 delegates, which are won based on the vote in every state. Our forecast adapts to each state’s unique delegate rules and is updated daily.

In 2022, RacetotheWH called the highest percentage of Senate and Governor races correctly of any forecaster and came within one seat of perfectly predicting the GOP’s final number of seats in the House.
For any questions about the primary forecast, please email Logan Phillips, the founder of RacetotheWH.


Other Features:

24 Senate Forecast

Our Senate Forecast breaks down the chances both parties have of securing a majority in 2024. It will be updated daily from now until the election!

Biden Approval Tracker

Unique to RacetotheWH - we have launched our Presidential Election Polling Average, including a new electoral college map for every matchup that has polling. Updated daily.

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More RacetotheWH Interactive Features

24 Presidential Polling - General Election

Track the latest general election polling, featuring Biden v. Trump and DeSantis polling, and an early look at the electoral college.

Click here for the Latest Polls

Kentucky Governor Predictions

In 2019, Democratic Attorney General Andy Beshear defied political gravity and won deep red Kentucky by 0.4%. Now, Beshear is running for re-election. Can he pull off another victory in 2023?

Latest Predictions for Kentucky