2024 Democratic Primary Polling

Other RacetotheWH Forecast

1. 2024 GOP Primary

2. Joe Biden Approval Rating Map

3. 2024 Presidential Polling

Track the latest polling for the 2024 Democratic Primary. Our polling average includes both national and state polling - the latter of which is broken into two sections - one where Joe Biden opts to run for re-election, and one where he decides not to. We should note that the Biden administration has maintained that the President intends to run again.

RacetotheWH launched in 2020 and was one of the most accurate forecasters in the nation in its first year. In 2022, we were one of the only forecasters to even attempt to predict Senate primaries - and correctly called the winner every single time, in 20 total races.

Joe Biden’s Approval Rating Map

Follow the latest polling and track Joe Biden's approval rating in every state in the nation.

The polling average, more weight is given to polls:

  1. With larger sample size

  2. That are more recent

  3. From pollsters with a good track record.

Once the field becomes clearer, the polling average will start narrowing the field to candidates that are running, or that still could launch a bid. We'll also launch several new interactive features after the midterm elections. Keep an eye out for a demographic polling average showing where major potential contenders, like Joe Biden, Kamala Harris, and Pete Buttigieg, get the most support.

Most importantly, RacetotheWH will feature primary predictions long before the first election. We've built an excellent track record in calling Senate and Governor primaries in 2022, successfully predicting the winner over 95% of the time.

 

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