Pennsylvania Senate Forecast & Polls

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Democrats were overjoyed when Pennsylvania Senator Pat Toomey announced he was going to retire because it gave them their single best opportunity to pick up a Republican seat in 2022. That doesn't mean it will be easy, as the Keystone state might just be the single most competitive Senate race this election cycle. Democratic Lieutenant Governor John Fetterman is facing Republican Celebrity Doctor Mehmet Oz, who won a narrow victory over Businessman David McCormick to secure the GOP nomination. In 2020, RacetotheWH was one of the most accurate forecasts in the nation, and correctly called Biden’s victory in Pennsylvania.

RacetotheWH is already forecasting the entire 2021-2022 Gubernation Cycle. Click here for the national picture.

Senate Forecast

Predictions for the 2022 Senate Election, by one of the nation’s best forecasters. Updated after every poll.


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