Georgia Governor Election

Forecast & Polls

Now Includes Polling and Predictions for the Primary

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RacetotheWH Forecast & Interactives

Stacey Abrams was the first Democrat in well over a decade to come within striking distance of a statewide victory in the Peach State. In retrospect, it was a clear harbinger of future success, as Democrats followed her near-miss with a triple victory in 2020 in the Senate and Presidential elections. Now, Abrams will try to win in a national political cycle that is likely to be less favorable for Democrats than in 2018, albeit on a battleground that has shifted in their favor over the last four years.

Republican Governor Brian Kemp easily dispatched with Senator David Perdue to secure the nomination and a re-match against Abrams, despite a years-long campaign by Donald Trump to punish him for not meddling in the 2020 election on his behalf.

RacetotheWH launched in the 2020 election cycle, and our forecast was one of the nation's most accurate. This was particularly true in Georgia, where we anticipated all three of Democrat’s narrow victories, and called Raphael Warnock the frontrunner over a month before most other prognosticators. We hope to build on that success in 2022.

RacetotheWH is already forecasting the entire 2021-2022 Gubernation Cycle. Click here for the national picture.

Senate Forecast

Predictions for the 2022 Senate Election, by one of the nation’s best forecasters. Updated after every poll.