House 2022 Live Election Forecast
Looking for the GA Senate Runoff Forecast? Click here!
Our House Election Forecast has been upgraded into a Live Election Forecast that will predict every Congressional race in the Nation using the latest data from the election results. The forecast will shift to account for which party is consistently doing better across the country compared to our projections, and calculate the chance both have of winning the majority. We also have a Live Forecast for the Senate.
We are using the Associated Press's election calls to take races off the board. We wait until 98% of the vote has been counted to compare our projection to the near-final margin. The more data we have, the more influence election day data has on the forecast. For the final pre-election results projection, click here.
RacetotheWH launched in 2020 and on average, it was closer to the final result than the traditional gold standard, Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight. For in-depth analysis posted after each update to the House forecast, follow RacetotheWH founder Logan Phillips.
RacetotheWH has in-depth predictions for every Governor, Senate and House Race, polling for the 2024 primaries, and a Biden’s approval rating tracker. Explore the full list of features on our site map.