2022 House Election - Wisconsin

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1. Wisconsin Senate
2. Wisconsin Governor
3. House Election Forecast

After a stand-off between the State Legislature and the Governor of Wisconsin over new maps for the 2020s, the State Supreme Court ruled that Wisconsin would maintain its old maps from the 2010s. That was good news for Republicans, who had passed one of the most extreme gerrymandered maps in the country last decade. That means there is only one seat left in play, and Democrats would, most likely, need to decisively beat Republicans in the statewide popular vote to win even 3 of the state’s eight seats. That seat is the Wisconsin Third, left open by retiring Congressman Ron Kind (D), and Republicans have the edge there as Donald Trump won it by 4.7% in 2020. Republicans have nominated Derrick Van Orden, who came within a few points of Kind last cycle, and Democrats have chosen Brad Pfaff, a State Senator, and the former Wisconsin state executive director of the Farm Service Agency under President Obama.

RacetotheWH launched in the 2020 election cycle, and our forecast was one of the nation's most accurate. It called over 93% of races right and outperformed almost all its top competitors at predicting the final margin in close Senate races. We’re projecting the result for all 34 Senate Races up in 2022.