The Latest Polls for the Georgia Senate Runoff
Updated: January 4th, 12:30 PM
We’re keeping track of all the latest polls in Georgia for our Senate Runoff Forecast. First, we show the current polling average, which gives more weight to polls that have recently been released, that are from the most accurate pollsters, and that have large sample sizes. Second, below the interactive feature, we list every poll in the order of their release.
Why trust our polling average? Our Senate Forecast was more accurate in predicting Biden’s margin of victory in Georgia than any top forecaster, including FiveThirtyEight, the Economist, or Rachel Bitcoifer.
Updated with every New Poll
January 4th, 2021
1. Perdue +1.1%
Ossoff 47.8% vs. Perdue 48.9%
University of Nevada, Dec. 30-Jan. 3, 550 L.V.
2. Loeffler +0.9%
Warnock 47.7% vs. Loeffler 48.6%
University of Nevada, Dec. 30-Jan. 3, 550 L.V.
Adjusted for Bias: Perdue +0.6%, Loeffler +0.4%
3. Tie
Ossoff 50% vs. Perdue 50%
Targoz, Dec. 30-Jan. 3, 713 L.V.
4. Warnock +2.0%
Warnock 51% vs. Loeffler 49%
Targoz, Dec. 30-Jan. 3, 713 L.V.
Adjusted for Bias: Perdue +0.8%, Warnock +1.2%
January 3rd, 2021
1. Ossoff +4.3%
Ossoff 51.3% vs. Perdue 47%
Atlas, Dec. 25-Jan. 1, 1680 L.V.
2. Warnock +4.2%
Warnock 51.1% vs. Loeffler 46.9%
Atlas, Dec. 25-Jan. 1 1011 L.V.
Adjusted for Bias: Ossoff + 3.8%, Warnock +3.7%
January 2nd, 2021
1. Ossoff +3.0%
Ossoff 50% vs. Perdue 47%
Gravis Marketting, Dec. 29-30, 1011 L.V.
2. Warnock +2.0%
Warnock 49% vs. Loeffler 47%
Gravis Marketting, Dec. 29-30 1011 L.V.
Adjusted for Bias: Ossoff + 2.1%, Warnock +1.1%
December 31th
1. Ossoff +3.0%
Ossoff 50% vs. Perdue 47%
Mellman Group, Dec. 18-22, 578 L.V.
2. Warnock +3.0%
Warnock 50% vs. Loeffler 47%
Mellman Group, Dec. 18-22 578 L.V.
Adjusted for Bias: Ossoff + 1.3%, Warnock +1.3%
December 29th
1. Ossoff +2.0%
Ossoff 50% vs. Perdue 48%
Trafalgar Group, Dec. 23-27, 1022 L.V.
2. Warnock +1.0%
Warnock 50% vs. Loeffler 49%
Trafalgar Group, Dec. 23-27 1022 L.V.
Adjusted for Bias: Ossoff + 5.0%, Warnock +4.0%
3. Perdue +4.0%
Ossoff 46% vs. Perdue 50%
Open Model, Dec. 21-27, 1405 L.V.
4. Loeffler +4.0%
Warnock 46% vs. Loeffler 50%
Open Model, Dec. 21-27 1405 L.V.
Adjusted for Bias: Perdue +4.0%, Loeffler +4.0%
December 24rd
1. Perdue +1.0%
Ossoff 42% vs. Perdue 43%
Reconnect Research, Dec. 14-22, 1027 L.V.
2. Warnock +1.0%
Warnock 43% vs. Loeffler 42%
Reconnect Research, Dec. 14-22 1027 L.V.
Adjusted for Bias: Perdue + 1.0%, Warnock +1.0%
December 23rd
1. Perdue +1.0%
Ossoff 48% vs. Perdue 49%
Insider Advantage, Dec. 21-22, 500 L.V.
2. Warnock +2.0%
Warnock 49% vs. Loeffler 47%
Insider Advantage, Dec. 21-22 500 L.V.
Adjusted for Bias: Perdue + 1.0%, Warnock +2.0%
3. Perdue +3.0%
Ossoff 48% vs. Perdue 51%
Emerson, Dec. 14-16, 605 L.V.
4. Loeffler +3.0%
Loeffler 48% vs. Warnock 51%
Emerson, Dec. 14-16, 605 L.V.
Adjusted for Bias: Perdue +3%, Loeffler +3%
December 22nd
1. Ossoff +5.8%
Ossoff 51.5% vs. Perdue 45.7%
SurveyUSA, Dec. 16-20, 600 L.V.
2. Warnock +6.7%
Warnock 51.7% v. Loeffler 45.0%
SurveyUSA, Dec. 16-20, 600 L.V.
Adjusted for Bias: Ossoff +5.8%Warnock +6.6%
December 21st
1. Ossoff +2.0%
Ossoff 49% vs. Perdue 47%
RMG Research, Dec. 8-14, 1417 L.V.
2. Warnock +1.0%
Warnock 49% v. Loeffler 48%
RMG Research, Dec. 8-14, 1417 L.V.
Adjusted for Bias: Ossoff +2.0%, Warnock +1.0%
December 19th
1. Perdue +2.7%
Ossoff 47.5% vs. Perdue 50.2%
Trafalgar Group, Dec. 14-16, 1064 L.V.
2. Loeffler +6.7%
Warnock 45.5% v. Loeffler 52.2%
Trafalgar Group, Dec. 14-16, 1064 L.V.
Adjusted for Bias: Ossoff +0.3%, Loeffler +3.7%
December 18th
1. Perdue +2.0%
Ossoff 48.9% vs. Perdue 50.9%
Emerson, Dec. 12-14, 605 L.V.
2. Loeffler +2.4%
Warnock 48.8% v. Loeffler 51.2%
Emerson, Dec. 12-14, 600 L.V.
Adjusted for Bias: Perdue +2.0%, Loeffler +2.4%
1. Perdue +4.1%
Ossoff 46.7% vs. Perdue 50.8%
Wick, Dec. 10-14th, 1500 L.V.
2. Loeffler +2.5%
Warnock 47.7% v. Loeffler 50.2%
Wick, Dec. 10-14th, 1500 L.V.
Adjusted for Bias: Perdue +3.5%, Loeffler +1.9%
December 12th
1. Ossoff +0.3%
Ossoff 49.1% vs. Perdue 48.1%
Trafalgar Group, Dec. 8-10th, 1018 L.V.
2. Loeffler +3.1%
Warnock 47.3% v. Loeffler 50.4%
Trafalgar Group, Dec. 8-10th, 1018 L.V.
Adjusted for Bias: Ossoff +3.3%, Loeffler +0.0%
December 11th
1. Ossoff +2.0%
Ossoff 48% vs. Perdue 46%
Fabrizio Ward, Nov. 30-Dec 4, 583 L.V.
2. Warnock +1.0%
Warnock 47% v. Loeffler 46%
Fabrizio Ward, Nov. 27-30th, 583 L.V.
Adjusted for Bias: Ossoff +2.0%, Warnock +1.0%
December 7th
1. Perdue +2.0%
Ossoff 48% vs. Perdue 50%
Data For Progress, Nov. 15th-20th, 1476 L.V.
2. Warnock +3.0%
Warnock 50% v. Loeffler 47%
Data For Progress, Nov. 15-20th, 1476 L.V.
Adjusted for Bias: Perdue +4.3%, Warnock +0.7%
December 4th
1. Ossoff +1.0%
Ossoff 48% vs. Perdue 47%
RMG Research, Nov. 19-24, 1,377 L.V.
2. Warnock +2.0%
Warnock 48% vs. Loeffler 46%
RMG Research, Nov. 19-24 1,377 L.V.
Adjusted for Bias: Ossoff + 1.0%, Warnock +2.0%
3. Ossoff +1.0%
Ossoff 48% vs. Perdue 47%
Trafalgar Group, Dec. 3rd, 1,083 L.V.
4. Loeffler +5.0%
Loeffler 50% vs. Warnock 45%
Trafalgar Group, Dec. 3rd, 1,083 L.V.
Adjusted for Bias: Ossoff +3.7%, Loeffler +1.9%
December 3rd
1. Ossoff +1.2%
Ossoff 49.6% vs. Perdue 48.4%
Survey USA, Nov. 27-30th, 583 L.V.
2. Warnock +6.4%
Warnock 51.6% v. Loeffler 45.3%
Survey USA, Nov. 27-30th, 583 L.V.
Adjusted for Bias: Ossoff +1.1%, Warnock +6.3%
November 18th
1. Loeffler +4.0%
Loeffler 50% vs. Warnock 46%
VCreek/AMG - (Loffler's Pollster), Nov. 10, 300 L.V.
Adjusted for Bias: Loeffler 0.9%
November 17th
1. Even - 0.0%
Ossoff 49% vs. Perdue 49%
InsiderAdvantage, Nov. 16th, 800 L.V.
2. Warnock +1.0%
Warnock 49% vs. Loeffler 48%
InsiderAdvantage, Nov. 16th, 800 L.V.
Adjusted for Bias: Ossoff +0.0%, Warnock +1.0%
November 11th
1. Perdue +4.0%
Perdue 50% vs. Ossoff 46%
Remington Research Group, Nov. 8-9., 1450 L.V.
2. Loeffler +1.0%
Loeffler 49% vs. Warnock 48%
Remington Research Group, Nov. 8-9., 1450 L.V.
Adjusted for Bias: Perdue +3.0%, Warnock +0.0%
Race to the WH Articles
The Georgia Runoff Forecast
Predicts the Winner of the Georgia Runoffs, which will single handedly decide the winner of the Senate.
