The 2026 House Forecast
Designed by Logan Phillips
Our House Forecast projects each party’s chance of winning the majority. It uses data-driven projections to forecast all 435 races and runs 10,000 simulations of the election after every update. The model takes into account the recent electoral history of each district, the latest polling, fundraising, and other key data.
In 2026, Democrats are seeking to reclaim the House majority, after coming tantalizingly close to victory in two straight election cycles. They need to flip just three seats to secure the majority.
Since starting in 2022, our forecast has called the second-highest percentage of House Races right of any forecaster, short only of the former political news site FiveThirtyEight. To learn more about how our forecast works, click here.
When you’re done with the main forecast, you can explore the forecast across each region and see the latest House polls. You can also check our forecasts for the Senate and Governor races, and track the President’s approval rating.
2026 Senate Polling
The latest polling for every Senate race up in 2026. In addition to regular polls, RacetotheWH also tracks primary polls and favorability polls for every candidate
Other RacetothewH Forecast
28 Democratic Presidential Polling
Track the latest polling for the 2028 Democratic primary. Interactive, including an interactive map showing the leader in each state.
28 Republican Presidential Polling
Track the latest polling for the 2028 Republican Primary. Interactive, including an interactive map showing the leader in each state.
NYC Mayor Race
rack the latest polls for the NYC Mayor Race, as Zohran Mamdani seeks to fend off challenges from former Governor Andrew Cuomo and current Mayor Eric Adams
Senate Polling
The latest polling for every Senate race up in 2026. In addition to regular polls, RacetotheWH also tracks primary polls and favorability polls for every candidate