Race for the New York City Mayor’s Office
Feature Created by Logan Phillips
RacetotheWH Forecast & Interactives:
In 2020, Race to the WH was one of the nation’s most accurate at predicting the Presidential and Senate elections. Now, we’re breaking down the NYC Mayor’s Election in our newest interactive feature.
Our coverage includes:
1. Polling Averages - A candidates support in the races, based off a weighed average of the polls that gives more weight to high quality, recent polls with large sample sizes.
2. Power Rankings - Every candidate gets a power score, based on indicators that show both current polling and their potential to gain new supporters
3. Fundraising - Candidates outsider the top tier will often struggle to get their message out, but their chances of breaking in are significantly higher if they have the resources to pay for significant levels of advertising.
4. Google Trends - We track how much candidates are getting searched online by New Yorkers. In primaries, google searches are sometimes the first indication that a candidate is gaining new attention, long before the polls have a chance to register their new found support.
New Feature: Check out how the mayor candidates are doing in each part of NYC, and with each demographic group
Finally, these forecast take an immense amount of work to both design, and to keep running. If you find the site useful, then you can show your support by donating to the site. Any contributions are appreciated!
Race for the Senate
Follow our latest forecast for the 2022 Senate, simulated over 10,000 times every update.
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